Palgrave Dictionary of Emerging Markets and Transition Economics: Insights from Archival Research
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The Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice
Prediction Markets, sometimes referred to as “information markets,” “idea futures” or “event futures”, are markets where participants trade contracts whose payoffs are tied to a future event, thereby yielding prices that can be interpreted as marketaggregated forecasts. This article summarizes the recent literature on prediction markets, highlighting both theoretical contributions that emphasiz...
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Resale markets are necessary to correct misallocations of assets, but do they always ensure that goods end up in the hands of those who value them most? This article reviews theoretical arguments as to why this need not necessarily be so and when inefficiencies might be expected despite the presence of resale markets. Policy implications are also suggested.
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An exogenous increase in the money supply is typically followed by a temporary fall in nominal interest rates. Flexible price macroeconomic models argue that this liquidity effect arises because asset markets are segmented. That is, only a fraction of the agents are present in the bond market when the central bank conducts an open market operation. However, to be quantitatively successful, segm...
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S. N. Durlauf and L. E. Blume, The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, forthcoming, Palgrave Macmillan, reproduced with permission of Palgrave Macmillan. This article is taken from the author's original manuscript and has not been reviewed or edited. The definitive published version of this extract may be found in the complete New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics in print and online, forthcom...
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